Prediction Markets: Kalshi and the New Wall Street

Sat, 04 Jul 2026 00:04:33 +0000

Prediction markets let anyone price the probability of a future event — an election, a rate cut, a hurricane, a Bitcoin move — and get paid for being right. In a conversation with Raoul Pal, Kalshi co-founder and CEO Tarek Mansour argues that these markets are quietly becoming a “new Wall Street”: a truth-seeking machine that democratizes forecasting, prices things the incumbents never could, and now runs regulated crypto perpetuals on U.S. soil.

Economic Singularity: Raoul Pal's 2030 Crypto Thesis

Fri, 03 Jul 2026 22:28:28 +0000

Raoul Pal’s “economic singularity” is the point — he pegs it around 2030 — where AI, cheap energy, and robotics grow the economy so fast that our existing tools for measuring markets, business, and money stop working. His argument isn’t a doom prophecy; it’s a timing call, and it ends with a specific instruction: you have roughly six years to build wealth before the map you’re using becomes useless.

Raoul Pal on Digital Asset Radar

Prediction Markets: Kalshi and the New Wall Street

Economic Singularity: Raoul Pal's 2030 Crypto Thesis